Projected NFL draft order for 2022

9:15 AM ET

ESPN workers

The 0-7 Detroit Lions have the perfect likelihood to choose No. 1 total within the 2022 NFL draft, in accordance with the up to date first-round order projections from the ESPN Soccer Energy Index (FPI). The Lions are the final winless workforce in 2021 after the Jacksonville Jaguars broke their 20-game shedding streak with a win over the Miami Dolphins in London in Week 6. The Jaguars are actually projected to have the No. 4 choose.

There have already got been 5 trades involving first-round picks within the 2022 draft, with the New York Giants projected to have two top-10 picks. The Philadelphia Eagles are at the moment projected to have three top-15 picks, due to offers with the Dolphins and the Indianapolis Colts — the latter of which entails a conditional choose primarily based on quarterback Carson Wentz’s taking part in time. After spraining each ankles in Week 2, Wentz has performed each snap since.

Each week in the course of the season, the FPI tasks the draft order by simulating the rest of the season 10,000 instances. Recreation possibilities are primarily based largely on the mannequin’s scores for particular person groups along with recreation areas. The order is predicated on the data the mannequin believes the groups can have after 17 video games, and the order is predicated on every workforce’s common draft place within the simulations.

Take a look at the complete 1-32 projection for the 2022 NFL draft (up to date Oct. 26):

Common draft place: 3.0
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 29.4%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 87.7%

Common draft place: 3.2
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 26.3%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 85.8%

Common draft place: 3.2
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 24.5%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 85.8%

Common draft place: 4.4
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 12.9%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 72.4%

Common draft place: 7.1
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 2.9%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 38.6%

Common draft place: 8.1
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 1.4%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 30.2%

Common draft place: 8.1
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 1.1%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 30.6%

Common draft place: 10.2
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 0.5%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 15.5%

Common draft place: 10.8
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 0.1%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 10.9%

Common draft place: 10.8
FPI likelihood to earn No. 1 choose: 0.6%
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 15.1%

Common draft place: 11.0
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 10%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 49.6%

Common draft place: 13.8
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 3.9%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 27.8%

Common draft place: 14.1
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 4.1%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 27.2%

Common draft place: 14.4
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 3.1%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 25.8%

Common draft place: 15.3
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 2.7%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 23.9%

Common draft place: 16.2
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 1.4%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 15.1%

Common draft place: 17.9
FPI likelihood to earn top-five choose: 0.7%
FPI likelihood to earn top-10 choose: 10.9%

* Conditional choose: Will grow to be Eagles’ choose if Colts quarterback Carson Wentz performs 75% of snaps this season. He has performed 98.8% of snaps by means of Week 7.